AQRiE Hub seminar: Pathways of disadvantage, attendance and exclusions into attainment in Scottish secondary schools Dr Patricio Troncoso will give a talk based on an ADR Scotland (part of ADR UK) project that links administrative data from Scotland’s Education Analytical Services, National Health Services, and census records. The study follows a cohort of pupils who started primary school in 2008/09 and completed compulsory education in 2018/19, using a multilevel mixture regression model to capture heterogeneity in educational pathways.AbstractTraditional analyses of educational outcomes often assume a linear relationship between non-attendance and attainment, with policy implications focusing primarily on how to improve attendance to improve attainment. This is an ADR Scotland (part of ADR UK) project that links administrative data from Scotland’s Education Analytical Services, National Health Services and census records. We followed a cohort of pupils who started primary school in 2008/09 and completed compulsory education in 2018/19 and applied a multilevel mixture regression model to capture heterogeneity in educational pathways. We identified five unobserved groups of pupils with distinct patterns of attendance, exclusions, attainment and socioeconomic and health-related disadvantages. Our findings suggest that relatively good educational outcomes may be possible without consistently high attendance for some pupils. We conclude that closing the attainment gap requires a multi-layered policy response that considers heterogeneous profiles of non-attendance and the complex interplay of upstream and downstream factors shaping children and young people’s lives, experiences and outcomes.Speaker Dr Patricio Troncoso is a Lecturer in Youth Studies at the Moray House School of Education and Sport, University of Edinburgh. He is an applied statistician with a background in Sociology, Public Policy and Education research. His research focuses on a range of children’s outcomes and experiences, including educational inequalities in attainment, school behaviour and attendance, school value-added, social care and protection, mental health as well as social and emotional learning and development. Tags Advanced Quantitative Research in Education Education events Research centres, groups and networks Research events Conferences, seminars and lectures Feb 10 2026 13.00 - 14.00 AQRiE Hub seminar: Pathways of disadvantage, attendance and exclusions into attainment in Scottish secondary schools Dr Patricio Troncoso discusses how to close the attainment gap. Hybrid (Charteris Land 5.02 & Microsoft Teams) Register on Eventbrite
AQRiE Hub seminar: Pathways of disadvantage, attendance and exclusions into attainment in Scottish secondary schools Dr Patricio Troncoso will give a talk based on an ADR Scotland (part of ADR UK) project that links administrative data from Scotland’s Education Analytical Services, National Health Services, and census records. The study follows a cohort of pupils who started primary school in 2008/09 and completed compulsory education in 2018/19, using a multilevel mixture regression model to capture heterogeneity in educational pathways.AbstractTraditional analyses of educational outcomes often assume a linear relationship between non-attendance and attainment, with policy implications focusing primarily on how to improve attendance to improve attainment. This is an ADR Scotland (part of ADR UK) project that links administrative data from Scotland’s Education Analytical Services, National Health Services and census records. We followed a cohort of pupils who started primary school in 2008/09 and completed compulsory education in 2018/19 and applied a multilevel mixture regression model to capture heterogeneity in educational pathways. We identified five unobserved groups of pupils with distinct patterns of attendance, exclusions, attainment and socioeconomic and health-related disadvantages. Our findings suggest that relatively good educational outcomes may be possible without consistently high attendance for some pupils. We conclude that closing the attainment gap requires a multi-layered policy response that considers heterogeneous profiles of non-attendance and the complex interplay of upstream and downstream factors shaping children and young people’s lives, experiences and outcomes.Speaker Dr Patricio Troncoso is a Lecturer in Youth Studies at the Moray House School of Education and Sport, University of Edinburgh. He is an applied statistician with a background in Sociology, Public Policy and Education research. His research focuses on a range of children’s outcomes and experiences, including educational inequalities in attainment, school behaviour and attendance, school value-added, social care and protection, mental health as well as social and emotional learning and development. Tags Advanced Quantitative Research in Education Education events Research centres, groups and networks Research events Conferences, seminars and lectures Feb 10 2026 13.00 - 14.00 AQRiE Hub seminar: Pathways of disadvantage, attendance and exclusions into attainment in Scottish secondary schools Dr Patricio Troncoso discusses how to close the attainment gap. Hybrid (Charteris Land 5.02 & Microsoft Teams) Register on Eventbrite
Feb 10 2026 13.00 - 14.00 AQRiE Hub seminar: Pathways of disadvantage, attendance and exclusions into attainment in Scottish secondary schools Dr Patricio Troncoso discusses how to close the attainment gap.
